Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000122 0.000134 0.000147 0.000162 0.000178 0.000196 0.000217
2025-11-23 0.000096 0.000113 0.000133 0.000158 0.000187 0.000223 0.000267
2025-11-30 0.000083 0.000103 0.000128 0.000160 0.000202 0.000254 0.000326
2025-12-07 0.000075 0.000096 0.000124 0.000163 0.000216 0.000286 0.000388
2025-12-14 0.000066 0.000088 0.000118 0.000160 0.000220 0.000305 0.000433
2025-12-21 0.000058 0.000080 0.000110 0.000154 0.000220 0.000315 0.000467
2025-12-28 0.000053 0.000076 0.000107 0.000155 0.000228 0.000340 0.000524
2026-01-04 0.000050 0.000072 0.000105 0.000156 0.000238 0.000365 0.000586
2026-01-11 0.000046 0.000068 0.000100 0.000154 0.000241 0.000382 0.000635
2026-01-18 0.000043 0.000065 0.000098 0.000154 0.000249 0.000406 0.000699
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000061 0.000095 0.000152 0.000251 0.000421 0.000750
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000059 0.000093 0.000152 0.000257 0.000443 0.000815
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000056 0.000089 0.000150 0.000260 0.000461 0.000876
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000052 0.000085 0.000146 0.000259 0.000472 0.000928
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000085 0.000148 0.000270 0.000506 0.001032
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000050 0.000084 0.000151 0.000283 0.000546 0.001152
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000047 0.000081 0.000148 0.000283 0.000561 0.001221
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000044 0.000077 0.000143 0.000278 0.000563 0.001262
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000043 0.000076 0.000143 0.000286 0.000594 0.001374
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000041 0.000075 0.000144 0.000295 0.000628 0.001500
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000040 0.000073 0.000142 0.000296 0.000646 0.001588
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000039 0.000072 0.000143 0.000304 0.000678 0.001720
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000037 0.000070 0.000141 0.000305 0.000695 0.001815